Correlation Between Passing Distribution Entropy and Scoring Opportunities in the Attacking Third
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Abstract
This research aims to investigate the relationship between ball distribution uncertainty, measured by Shannon Entropy, and the efficiency of creating scoring opportunities in the attacking third. Using event data from 15 matches of the 2018 FIFA World Cup, the study employed spatial coordinate analysis and information theory statistics by dividing the attacking half into 9 discrete zones. The results revealed a very high positive correlation between Shannon Entropy and scoring opportunities, with a Pearson correlation coefficient (r) of 0.98 and a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.97. This indicates that the unpredictability and diversity of passing can explain 97% of the variance in attacking efficiency. The linear regression model suggests that an increase of 1 bit in entropy is associated with an average increase of 6.68 scoring opportunities. These findings confirm that uncertainty in ball distribution is a crucial factor in space creation and overcoming highly organized defensive systems in elite football.
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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
บทความที่ได้รับการตีพิมพ์เป็นลิขสิทธิ์ของวารสาร มรภ.กพ. วิทยาศาสตร์ คณิตศาสตร์ และเทคโนโลยี
ข้อคิดเห็นใดๆ ที่ปรากฎในวารสารเป็นวรรณกรรมของผู้เขียนโดยเฉพาะ ซึ่งมหาวิทยาลัยราชภัฏกำแพงเพชรและบรรณาธิการไม่จำเป็นต้องเห็นด้วย
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